The Real Return
S&P 500 vs Bitcoin, adjusted for M2 money supply — Sats & Stacks
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S&P 500 price return (no dividends) modelled at ~6.2% nominal annually. With dividends reinvested: ~10% nominal annually. M2 money supply growth: ~6.84% annually (Federal Reserve data). Bitcoin year-end prices used: 2011 $4.70, 2012 $13.50, 2013 $751, 2014 $315, 2015 $430, 2016 $963, 2017 $13,880, 2018 $3,717, 2019 $7,193, 2020 $29,374, 2021 $46,306, 2022 $16,547, 2023 $42,258, 2024 $93,429. All figures are approximate and for illustrative purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.